I built a free desktop app that turns Bitcoin cycle into a concrete investment plan (open source, Python/PyQt6) - Ho creato un’app desktop gratuita che trasforma i cicli di Bitcoin in un piano operativo (open source, Python/PyQt6)

I got tired of reading Bitcoin cycle analyses (halving timing, buy zones, “sell 25% at H+12”) and then having to turn them into numbers by hand. So I built BTC Cycle Planner, a desktop app that does it for me.

What it is

A local app, not a signal service and not a trading bot. It never touches an exchange or a wallet.

What it does

• Reads documents (PDF, TXT, MD) and extracts the numeric parameters with plain, inspectable rules. Every extracted value shows the page and the exact text it came from.
• Merges several documents. The most recent one wins, and conflicting values are flagged.
• Builds a plan from those parameters, live price and indicators (CoinGecko, Fear & Greed) and your capital. The plan covers:
  • where you are in the cycle;
  • a buy ladder, with zones re-anchored to the current power-law floor;
  • a daily “drip” while price is below the floor;
  • a front-loaded DCA with boosts and a kill-switch;
  • a scheduled exit plan.
• Has a chart tab with live price (60 s polling), ladder bands, power-law fair value and floor, invalidation levels, the expected bottom window and the planned exits. It supports log scale, click-to-measure, and PNG export.
• Warns you about its own weak spots. It flags single-source bias, promotional content, diverging bottom estimates, the tiny sample behind the “4-year cycle”, and runs a stress test on the ladder’s average entry price.
• It is bilingual (Italian and English), has an in-app guide with search, and updates itself from GitHub releases.

What it is NOT

• It doesn’t predict anything. It mechanically applies whatever the documents say.
• It’s only as good as the documents you feed it. The extraction rules were built around a specific set of English-language cycle PDFs, so other documents may only be partly understood.
• It’s an educational tool, not financial advice. The 4-year cycle rests on four observations, and ETFs and institutions may well break it.

Stack: Python 3.9+, PyQt6, pyqtgraph, pypdf. Installers for Windows, macOS and Linux are built by GitHub Actions.

Repo and releases: https://github.com/enkas79/BTC_Cycle

I’d especially like feedback on three things:

1. Which other document formats or authors should the extractor support?
2. Which warnings are missing from the “critical partner” section?
3. Is the plan logic reasonable, or would you structure the exit differently?

Leggo analisi sul ciclo di Bitcoin (tempi dagli halving, zone di acquisto, “vendi il 25% a H+12”) e poi devo trasformarle in numeri a mano. Per questo ho scritto BTC Cycle Planner.

Cos’è: un’app locale. Non è un servizio di segnali né un bot, e non tocca exchange o wallet.

Cosa fa:

• legge PDF/TXT/MD ed estrae i parametri con regole trasparenti, mostrando pagina e frammento di testo di ogni valore;
• unisce più documenti (vince il più recente, i conflitti sono segnalati);
• genera il piano con prezzo e indicatori di mercato e con il tuo capitale: fase del ciclo, ladder di acquisto riancorata al floor della power law, drip giornaliero, DCA con boost e kill-switch, piano di uscita;
• ha una scheda grafico con prezzo live e livelli, scala log, uscite, click per misurare ed esportazione PNG;
• ti avvisa dei suoi stessi limiti: fonte unica, contenuti promozionali, stime divergenti, campione minimo del “ciclo di 4 anni”, stress test;
• è in italiano e inglese e ha una guida integrata con ricerca.

Cosa non è: non prevede nulla, applica meccanicamente ciò che dicono i documenti, e le regole di estrazione sono costruite su un insieme specifico di PDF in inglese. È uno strumento educativo, non consulenza finanziaria.

Repo: https://github.com/enkas79/BTC_Cycle. Cerco feedback su formati da supportare, avvertenze mancanti e logica di uscita.