Category : Blockchain

Blockchain

Polymarket odds for July Fed hold jump to 93% after Bitcoin tops $65K

Bitcoin climbed above $65,000 as broader market sentiment turned risk-on, with VIRTUAL and UNI holding gains. (Read More)

Polymarket odds put China-Taiwan invasion risk at 4% after drills report

Japan’s defense ministry said Chinese and Russian warships held joint live-fire drills inside Japan’s claimed EEZ in the Pacific, and Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi disclosed the activity. (Read More)

Polymarket invasion odds for Iran jump to 26.5% on $45.7M volume

Near Second Thomas Shoal, Chinese and Philippine vessels clashed, injuring a Philippine sailor, as Washington condemned China’s conduct and Manila hosted regional talks. (Read More)

Polymarket odds: Trump out by Jul 31 at 0.35% after Minnesota ruling

A Trump-nominated judge reportedly ruled against him in a key Minnesota case, fueling fresh legal chatter. (Read More)

Polymarket odds for China–Taiwan clash before 2027 slip to 7.25%

In early July, Sri Lanka’s worst dengue outbreak in nearly a decade prompted armed forces support, with air force drones and troops helping inspections after monsoon rains. (Read More)

Polymarket odds sink as Hormuz traffic normal-by-Dec bet falls to 55%

On July 21, Iran’s Guards claimed they struck two tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and targeted U.S. defense systems in Bahrain. Polymarket traders care because the “traffic normal by Dec. (Read More)

Polymarket prices 16.5% Putin exit by June 2027 as ladder shifts long-dated

Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces reported striking seven “shadow fleet” vessels in the Azov and Black Seas and hitting air defenses and energy sites, including Crimea. (Read More)

Polymarket odds for Israel–Iran ceasefire ease to 99.65% after Kuwait claim

Iran said it targeted a US base in Kuwait with missiles, a headline that immediately nudged ceasefire-risk pricing in prediction markets. (Read More)

Polymarket: Vance holds 19.85% in 2028 market as Trump stays 1.45%

Democrats are scrambling to counter Donald Trump’s renewed attacks on Iran, highlighting internal debate over how to respond to his rhetoric and actions. (Read More)

Polymarket odds: Farage holds 95% in Clacton by-election market

Sen. Markwayne Mullin said federal authorities are actively pursuing a threat tied to a World Cup fan festival, signaling an ongoing security response. (Read More)

Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%

U.S. average gas prices climbed back above $4 as Washington intensified airstrikes against Iran and Iran attacked U.S. (Read More)

Polymarket odds imply no Fed cuts in 2026 at 85% after AI risk-off note

A technical-analysis note said the AI trade’s bounce may be a head fake after a nearly 19% pullback in an AI-themed ETF, with weekly momentum turning bearish and more downside possible. (Read More)

Polymarket odds: China–Taiwan clash before 2027 slips to 7.3% Yes

A “Future-ready wealth strategies” topic page compiling rolling “Latest News and Updates” was the newest attached item, offering no discrete cross-strait military development. (Read More)

Polymarket prices Syrskyi exit by Dec 31 at 95% as OSCE visits Kyiv

OSCE permanent representatives arrived in Kyiv after another massive Russian attack to witness the damage, as Ruslan Stefanchuk and Volodymyr Zelensky pressed allies for faster air-defense support. (Read More)

Polymarket: Hormuz traffic back to normal by 2026? Yes odds slide to 54.5%

A July report said petrol and oil prices jumped as US–Iran tensions flared, with limited weekend transits and tanker incidents near Oman raising alarms about Strait of Hormuz shipping. (Read More)

Polymarket odds flat: RFK Jr. 49% for 2028 GOP nod as Trump news fades

Ontario’s premier publicly urged Donald Trump to stop wildfire-related insults and instead help allies, highlighting the dispute’s tone rather than any 2028 shift. (Read More)

Polymarket odds: Newsom slips to 19.85% in 2028 Dem nominee market

In Maine, chatter after Platner’s exit said Troy Jackson is poised to take over the baton, highlighting a near-term local leadership handoff. (Read More)

Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2027 odds to 16% after Duma exile bill push

Russia’s State Duma is set to fast-track a bill midweek that would curb exiled anti-war Russians’ access to online banking, property deals, and consular services, pending Putin’s signature. (Read More)

Polymarket: Vance tops 2028 odds at 19.85% as El-Sayed transcript hits

A full transcript featuring Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed was published, giving traders new searchable messaging to weigh without changing settlement rules. (Read More)

Polymarket invasion odds on Iran jump to 24.5% after Gulf attack report

Reports say Iran launched fresh attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain, signaling near-term escalation in the Gulf. Polymarket traders are watching for spillover into U.S.-Iran conflict risk, with the “U.S. (Read More)

Polymarket odds for US-Iran ceasefire by Aug 31 rise to 58.5%

Overnight, a report said U.S. strikes hit two Iranian provinces, killing one and injuring several, adding fresh escalation to the timeline traders are tracking. (Read More)

Polymarket prices Trump staying in office by July 31 as Iran tensions rise

A report says the US expanded attacks on Iran after another American service member was killed, sharpening escalation concerns. (Read More)

Polymarket odds put July Fed hold at 93% after inflation broadens report

A new report described inflation as “broadening out,” citing a Goldman economist and suggesting price pressures are spreading beyond a few categories. (Read More)

Polymarket odds dip to 9.5% on Iran regime fall before 2027 after strikes

Iranian state media reported US strikes hit a city that hosts a nuclear plant, raising fresh questions about escalation. (Read More)

Polymarket odds show 2028 field split as Vance leads at 19.85%

A new analysis titled “Can Solar Succeed in Trump’s Washington?” spotlights how solar policy could fare under a future Trump-led federal government, reshaping perceived sector winners and losers. (Read More)

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